Friday, August 9, 2013

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Filament Eruption and CME
An eruptive filament generated a partial halo coronal mass ejection on Wednesday evening. The latest analysis by the Goddard Space Flight Center is calling for an impact to our geomagnetic field by early on August 11th. The latest NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center update is calling for an indirect impact by late on August 10th. This latest plasma cloud is in addition to an earlier CME that was also somewhat directed towards Earth. Minor geomagnetic storming will be possible this weekend should the plasma clouds sweep past Earth.

Geomagnetic Storm Watch
An elevated solar wind stream flowing from a narrow Coronal Hole (CH) is currently streaming past Earth. This in itself is not expected to stir up much in the way of geomagnetic activity, but should the first of two possible CMEs deliver an expected glancing blow within the next 24 hours, minor G1 geomagnetic storming at high latitudes could unfold due to the combined effects. A second CME could deliver another glancing blow by August 11th. Both were the result of filament eruptions.

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 09: None (Below G1) Aug 10: G1 (Minor) Aug 11: G1 (Minor)
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

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